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Author Topic: China Not the Emerging Economy We Thought?  (Read 329 times)
El Negro
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« on: February 01, 2011, 10:13:18 PM »

What do you all think about this premise?

http://finance.fortune.cnn.com/2010/11/17/chanos-vs-china/

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knix20
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« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2011, 06:10:57 PM »

This is not the first article or expert I have seen/heard say the same thing. they pretty much say that because china emerged from the 'recession' quickly, it appears on the surface that it is a booming economy, however, it could go south fairly quickly. I think i read maybe in forbes(cant remember) that they compared it to japan. how at one point japan appeared to be the place to be, but then it failed.

interesting article.
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El Negro
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« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2011, 09:12:25 PM »

This is not the first article or expert I have seen/heard say the same thing. they pretty much say that because china emerged from the 'recession' quickly, it appears on the surface that it is a booming economy, however, it could go south fairly quickly. I think i read maybe in forbes(cant remember) that they compared it to japan. how at one point japan appeared to be the place to be, but then it failed.

interesting article.

I agree. I remember reading a book that had this as its central theme. I think they are masking a little on what's going on in China. My pops owns properties over there and visits often, he told me that they have been building a mass amount of properties over there for sky high prices, yet no one has the type of money to afford them, his and other's profits comes from pure real estate speculation and goverment purchases (of real estate).

I doubt there will be a tremendous boom in the actual household economies, if anything the wealthy Chinese will become wealthier (a mysterious increase from 28 to 64 billionaires happened in 2010) , when I think of booming economy, I think of standard of living. We'll see though.
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knix20
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« Reply #3 on: February 09, 2011, 02:18:32 AM »

a lot of things are a facade.

I just read this article, I wonder if this could tie to the orginal article you posted: it is about high prices of food due to the current drought in parts of china. the weather changes around the world are affecting crop seasons

mobile.nytimes.com/article?a=739464&f=20&p=0

I'm on my phone, so that is the url, I'm not sure what will happen if u put in the comp... hopefully it will redirect you or if you really are interested, I guess you can just search times for this article. I believe it was written today
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knix20
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« Reply #4 on: February 09, 2011, 02:20:02 AM »

I meant to type: NY times
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